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How long will my retirement savings last?

Enter your savings and yearly spending. We show how many years the money lasted for someone retiring in every year since 1928.

Updated · U.S. market history 1928–2025 · How we test

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Results update as you type. Amounts are in today’s dollars.

Shortest it lasted in history17 years

Retiring in 1969, heading into the high inflation of the late 1960s and 1970s, $50,000 a year from $1,000,000 lasted 17 years. 50 of 69 starts lasted at least 30 years.

  • Ran out before 30 years
  • Ran out after 30+ years
  • Never ran out
0 yrs20 yrs40 yrs1928: lasted 44 years1929: lasted 24 years1930: lasted 29 years1931: lasted 43 years1932: still going after 50 years1933: still going after 50 years1934: lasted 45 years1935: lasted 49 years1936: lasted 30 years1937: lasted 21 years1938: lasted 44 years1939: lasted 30 years1940: lasted 32 years1941: lasted 39 years1942: still going after 50 years1943: still going after 50 years1944: still going after 50 years1945: still going after 50 years1946: lasted 38 years1947: still going after 50 years1948: still going after 50 years1949: still going after 50 years1950: still going after 50 years1951: still going after 50 years1952: still going after 50 years1953: still going after 50 years1954: still going after 50 years1955: lasted 39 years1956: lasted 29 years1957: lasted 31 years1958: lasted 40 years1959: lasted 27 years1960: lasted 26 years1961: lasted 26 years1962: lasted 22 years1963: lasted 24 years1964: lasted 21 years1965: lasted 19 years1966: lasted 18 years1967: lasted 20 years1968: lasted 18 years1969: lasted 17 years1970: lasted 23 years1971: lasted 23 years1972: lasted 21 years1973: lasted 18 years1974: lasted 32 years1975: still going after 50 years1976: still going after 50 years1977: still going after 49 years (history ends)1978: still going after 48 years (history ends)1979: still going after 47 years (history ends)1980: still going after 46 years (history ends)1981: still going after 45 years (history ends)1982: still going after 44 years (history ends)1983: still going after 43 years (history ends)1984: still going after 42 years (history ends)1985: still going after 41 years (history ends)1986: still going after 40 years (history ends)1987: still going after 39 years (history ends)1988: still going after 38 years (history ends)1989: still going after 37 years (history ends)1990: still going after 36 years (history ends)1991: still going after 35 years (history ends)1992: still going after 34 years (history ends)1993: still going after 33 years (history ends)1994: still going after 32 years (history ends)1995: still going after 31 years (history ends)1996: still going after 30 years (history ends)1997: still going after 29 years (history ends)1998: still going after 28 years (history ends)1999: still going after 27 years (history ends)2000: still going after 26 years (history ends)2001: still going after 25 years (history ends)2002: still going after 24 years (history ends)2003: still going after 23 years (history ends)2004: still going after 22 years (history ends)2005: still going after 21 years (history ends)2006: still going after 20 years (history ends)2007: still going after 19 years (history ends)2008: still going after 18 years (history ends)2009: still going after 17 years (history ends)2010: still going after 16 years (history ends)2011: still going after 15 years (history ends)2012: still going after 14 years (history ends)2013: still going after 13 years (history ends)2014: still going after 12 years (history ends)2015: still going after 11 years (history ends)2016: still going after 10 years (history ends)30 years192819381948195819681978198819982008
Each bar is one retirement start year. Pale bars never ran out: they stop at 50 years or where market history ends.
Withdrawal rate5.0%$50,000 a year from savings
Lasted 30+ years50 of 69Starts 1928–1996
Lasted 40+ years32 of 59Starts 1928–1986
Never ran out36 of 69Within 50 years or by 2025

What this means

Your savings lasted at least 17 years in every retirement since 1928 with that much market history behind it. The shortest run came from retiring in 1969. The starts that fell short were 1929–1930, 1937, 1956, 1959–1973, heading into the Great Depression, the 1937 crash, the high inflation of the late 1960s and 1970s and the 1973–74 crash and the inflation of the 1970s.

How long money lasts depends less on the average return than on the order of returns in the first decade. Retirees who started just before a long slump ran out years earlier than those who started just before a boom, even with identical plans.

At a 5.0% withdrawal rate, history shows outcomes spreading widely. Small changes, such as a few years of part-time work, a later Social Security claim or guardrails that trim spending after big drops, can add many years.

Why there isn’t one answer

Divide savings by spending and you get one tidy number: $1 million at $50,000 a year looks like 20 years. Real life isn’t tidy. Invested money keeps growing in good markets, while losses and inflation can shorten the run in bad ones. How long it actually lasts depends on what markets do, especially in the first decade.

So instead of one projection, the chart shows a real result for each retirement start year. Bars that reach the top never ran out; short bars show the hard starts. Your plan is better judged by the shortest bars than by the average.

How to make your savings last longer

  • Lower the first-year withdrawal. Below about 4% of savings, money has historically lasted 30+ years in almost every start.
  • Add income that doesn’t depend on markets. Each $10,000 of Social Security or pension income reduces what savings must cover.
  • Be flexible in bad years. Small, temporary cuts after big drops add years in exactly the starts that run short.
  • Protect the early years. A cash bucket keeps you from selling stocks in a crash right after you retire.

Assumptions

  • Spending rises with inflation and never changes. Social Security is set to $0; enter it above to include it.
  • 60% S&P 500 stocks and 40% 10-year Treasuries, rebalanced yearly. No taxes or fees.
  • Each start year runs up to 50 years or until our market history ends in 2025.

New to a term? See the retirement income glossary.

Common questions

How long will $1 million last in retirement?

At $40,000 a year with a balanced mix, $1 million lasted 30 years in the vast majority of historical starts and often far longer. At $60,000 a year, the hardest starts ran out in under 20 years. Enter your spending above to see your range.

Does this include Social Security?

Only if you enter it. Social Security reduces what you withdraw from savings, which can extend how long the money lasts by many years.

Why do some bars stop early?

Our market data ends in 2025, so recent start years can only be followed for as long as history allows. Those bars mean the money hadn’t run out yet.

Related tools

How we calculate this

For every start year from 1928 to 2016, we withdraw your inflation-adjusted spending at the start of each year and apply that year’s actual real returns, counting the years until a withdrawal can no longer be paid in full.

Data: S&P 500 total returns, 10-year Treasury and 3-month Treasury bill returns as compiled by Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern), and CPI-U inflation from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1928–2025 (2025 preliminary). Read the full methodology and limitations.